In recent weather updates, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has raised Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1 over the Bicol region and Samar provinces as Severe Tropical Storm Egay (international name: Doksuri) intensifies further. This article provides a comprehensive overview of Egay's current location, strength, projected path, and potential impacts on affected regions. Additionally, we will explore how Egay's intensification is influenced by atmospheric and oceanic conditions, as predicted by PAGASA.
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Egay's Current Status
As of the 5 p.m. weather bulletin, Egay is located approximately 560 kilometers east of Daet, Camarines Norte. The storm is packing maximum sustained winds of 110 kilometers per hour (kph) near the center, with gusts of up to 135 kph. Egay is presently moving west-northwestward at a speed of 10 kph.
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Areas Under Signal No. 1
PAGASA has hoisted Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1 over specific areas. This signal indicates that winds may cause damage to structures made of light materials and may also break some trees. The areas currently under Signal No. 1 are as follows:
Bicol Region:
- Catanduanes
- Eastern portion of Camarines Sur (Garchitorena, Caramoan, Presentacion)
Samar Provinces:
- Northern portion of Aurora (Casiguran, Dilasag)
- Eastern portion of Isabela (Dinapigue, Divilacan, Maconacon, Palanan, Ilagan City, San Mariano, Tumauini, San Pablo, Cabagan)
- Eastern portion of Cagayan (Santa Ana, Gonzaga, Lal-Lo, Gattaran, Baggao, Peñablanca)
- Northern portion of Eastern Samar (San Policarpo, Oras, Arteche, Jipapad)
- Eastern portion of Northern Samar (Lapinig, Gamay, Mapanas, Palapag, Laoang, Catubig, Pambujan)
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Projected Path and Intensification
Egay is expected to continue its west-northwestward or westward movement over the next 12 hours. Although it is likely to remain offshore, there is still a possibility of a close approach of landfall in the vicinity of extreme Northern Luzon.
Furthermore, PAGASA forecasts that Egay will reach typhoon category strength within the next 24 hours. There is also a potential for it to become a super typhoon by Tuesday. The rapid intensification is attributed to favorable atmospheric and oceanic conditions, which support the storm's development.
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Potential Impacts on Affected Regions
Given Egay's current trajectory and forecasted intensification, several regions are likely to experience heavy rainfall in the coming days. As of the latest update, Catanduanes may experience heavy rainfall until Monday. The following areas may also experience heavy rainfall by Monday:
- Cagayan
- Eastern section of Isabela
- Polilio Islands
- Camarines Norte
- Camarines Sur
- Albay
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Southwest Monsoon Enhancement
Egay is expected to enhance the southwest monsoon, which may bring occasional rains over the following regions:
- Palawan
- Occidental Mindoro
- Romblon
- Quezon
- Surigao del Norte
- Dinagat Islands
- Misamis Oriental
- Rest of Visayas
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Weather Outlook for Metro Manila and the Rest of the Country
Metro Manila and other parts of the country can expect partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms. These conditions are brought about by the influence of the southwest monsoon and localized thunderstorms.
Conclusion
Severe Tropical Storm Egay (Doksuri) has intensified further, prompting PAGASA to raise Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1 over the Bicol region and Samar provinces. As the storm continues to move west-northwestward, it may bring heavy rainfall and potential damage to affected regions. Egay's projected intensification into a typhoon and possibly a super typhoon is attributed to favorable atmospheric and oceanic conditions. The public in the affected areas, as well as neighboring regions, should closely monitor PAGASA's updates and take necessary precautions to ensure their safety during this weather event.
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